There are a number of sites where you can find the raw data needed, but I’ll walk you through my process. To calculate turnover-adjusted usage rate on your own, all you need is Excel. Some may argue that shots made may be more important to DFS than shots taken, but we are more concerned with predicting future opportunity, not looking back at what happened in the past. This includes a shot attempt, a free throw attempt, or an assist. Using the adjusted usage rate, Player A would have a usage rate of 16, while Player B would have a usage rate of 22.Īnother way to put it is that we only want to include productive possessions in the equation. Do we want to use a statistic that shows the same usage rate for these two players? Of course not – we want to reward the player that used more possessions, not lost more possessions. The only difference is that Player A commits six turnovers, while Player B has a mistake-free game. To keep it simple, both of these players used 22 possessions and they both played 30 minutes. Let’s compare two players using the standard and adjusted usage rates. The result isn’t drastically different from the standard usage rate, but it can lead to better decision-making. Usage Rate = divided by (Minutes x Team Pace) Here is a quick (and what seems like a complicated) formula for a player’s usage rate: Obviously there is more to fantasy production that just offense, but usage rate is a great indicator of how involved a player is offensively. If we can accurately predict a player’s usage in his offense, then we can predict his opportunity on a nightly basis. Why is this particular statistic important? While basketball is a team sport, daily fantasy is all about individual production. If you have been playing daily fantasy basketball, you have probably heard the term “usage rate.” Just in case you haven’t, it is a statistic that measures how many possessions a player uses while on the floor.
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